Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI) Announces Earnings Results, Misses Expectations By $0.10 EPS

Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI) released its quarterly earnings data on Wednesday. The company reported ($0.08) earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $0.02 by ($0.10), Briefing.com reports. Genius Sports had a negative return on equity of 13.69% and a negative net margin of 16.67%.The business had revenue of $240.50 million during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $234.94 million. During the same period in the previous year, the company earned ($0.12) EPS. Genius Sports’s revenue was up 37.0% on a year-over-year basis.

Here are the key takeaways from Genius Sports’ conference call:

• Genius reported strong 2025 results with group revenue of $669 million (+31%) and group Adjusted EBITDA of $136 million (20% margin), its best annual performance since 2021.
• The company reaffirmed its 2026 guidance of $810–820M revenue and $180–190M Adjusted EBITDA and said the Legend acquisition is expected to be immediately accretive, with a pro‑forma annualized target of ~$1.1B revenue and $320–330M Adjusted EBITDA (~30% margin, ~50% FCF conversion).
• Management positioned Legend as a technology‑first audience monetization platform (claimed ~118M users) that generates high‑LTV customers and outlined four near‑term revenue synergies—cross‑sell, audience monetization, scaling to leagues/teams, and distribution of Genius products—which could materially expand addressable market (≈+70% into iCasino).
• Free cash flow declined in 2025 partly due to roughly $30M of non‑recurring litigation/M&A costs, the media segment will shift some arrangements from gross to net reporting (reducing reported top‑line growth though improving margins), and the Legend deal remains subject to regulatory approval.

Genius Sports Stock Down 3.1%

Shares of GENI stock opened at $5.85 on Friday. The company has a market cap of $1.26 billion, a P/E ratio of -13.60 and a beta of 1.91. The business has a 50 day moving average of $8.36 and a two-hundred day moving average of $10.43. Genius Sports has a 52 week low of $5.60 and a 52 week high of $13.73.

Analysts Set New Price Targets

Several equities research analysts recently commented on the company. Wells Fargo & Company dropped their target price on Genius Sports from $10.00 to $9.00 and set an “overweight” rating on the stock in a report on Thursday. Zacks Research upgraded shares of Genius Sports from a “strong sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a research note on Thursday, December 4th. The Goldman Sachs Group upped their price objective on Genius Sports from $14.00 to $16.00 and gave the company a “buy” rating in a research note on Thursday, December 4th. Stifel Nicolaus reduced their target price on Genius Sports from $10.00 to $7.00 and set a “hold” rating on the stock in a report on Thursday, February 19th. Finally, Guggenheim lowered their price target on Genius Sports from $17.00 to $12.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a report on Friday, February 6th. Three investment analysts have rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, fourteen have issued a Buy rating, two have issued a Hold rating and one has issued a Sell rating to the company. Based on data from MarketBeat, the company currently has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average target price of $12.84.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

A number of hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently added to or reduced their stakes in the stock. Prelude Capital Management LLC increased its position in Genius Sports by 1.3% in the third quarter. Prelude Capital Management LLC now owns 92,529 shares of the company’s stock worth $1,146,000 after buying an additional 1,181 shares during the period. Cetera Investment Advisers boosted its holdings in shares of Genius Sports by 10.0% during the second quarter. Cetera Investment Advisers now owns 15,288 shares of the company’s stock valued at $159,000 after acquiring an additional 1,388 shares during the period. SkyView Investment Advisors LLC grew its position in shares of Genius Sports by 2.0% during the second quarter. SkyView Investment Advisors LLC now owns 77,289 shares of the company’s stock worth $802,000 after acquiring an additional 1,512 shares during the last quarter. Moors & Cabot Inc. increased its holdings in shares of Genius Sports by 28.6% in the 3rd quarter. Moors & Cabot Inc. now owns 16,625 shares of the company’s stock worth $206,000 after acquiring an additional 3,700 shares during the period. Finally, Natixis Advisors LLC increased its holdings in shares of Genius Sports by 17.9% in the 3rd quarter. Natixis Advisors LLC now owns 25,364 shares of the company’s stock worth $314,000 after acquiring an additional 3,859 shares during the period. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 81.91% of the company’s stock.

Genius Sports News Roundup

Here are the key news stories impacting Genius Sports this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Revenue beat and strong underlying growth — Q4 revenue was $240.5M (vs. $234.9M consensus) and management highlighted ~37% YoY revenue growth and a reported EBITDA jump, supporting upside to long‑term top‑line momentum. Revenue and EBITDA story
• Positive Sentiment: Analysts remain largely constructive despite cuts — several firms trimmed price targets but retained Buy/Outperform/Overweight ratings, signalling continued institutional conviction in the recovery story. Analyst reactions
• Neutral Sentiment: Full earnings materials and call transcript are available for due diligence — investors can review the transcript and slide deck for segment details, contract updates and margin outlook. Earnings transcript
• Neutral Sentiment: FY‑2026 revenue guidance slightly above consensus but EPS guidance was unclear — management guided revenue of $810–$820M (consensus ~$804.7M) but did not provide clear EPS guidance, leaving earnings visibility limited. Guidance and press release
• Negative Sentiment: EPS missed and shares hit a new 52‑week low — EPS of ($0.08) missed the $0.02 consensus, which spurred intraday selling and pushed the stock to its 52‑week low on heavy volume. That miss, combined with the lack of EPS clarity in guidance, is the primary driver of today’s decline. 52‑week low and earnings miss

About Genius Sports

Genius Sports is a global sports technology company that specializes in collecting, analyzing and distributing real-time sports data and video streams. The firm provides official data feeds, live video streaming solutions and digital engagement tools to sports leagues, federations, broadcasters and betting operators. By integrating data directly from sporting events through its network of field officials and proprietary technology, Genius Sports ensures accuracy and integrity for partners who rely on up-to-the-second information.

The company’s product suite includes a cloud-based platform for data capture and distribution, an integrity services offering designed to identify and mitigate match-fixing risks, and a suite of commercial products that power odds creation, in-game betting markets and fan engagement experiences.