Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI) Issues Quarterly Earnings Results, Misses Expectations By $0.07 EPS

Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI) posted its quarterly earnings results on Thursday. The company reported ($0.06) EPS for the quarter, missing analysts’ consensus estimates of $0.01 by ($0.07), FiscalAI reports. Genius Sports had a negative return on equity of 23.83% and a negative net margin of 22.99%. The business had revenue of $269.86 million during the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $261.13 million. During the same period in the prior year, the firm posted ($0.11) earnings per share. The firm’s revenue for the quarter was up 62.3% on a year-over-year basis.

Here are the key takeaways from Genius Sports’ conference call:

• Q3 beat expectations and full-year guidance was raised. Revenue was $270 million and adjusted EBITDA was $87 million; Genius now expects 2026 revenue of $1.015 billion–$1.035 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $287 million–$297 million.
• Cash generation and margins improved. The company reported $54 million in free cash flow, a 32% adjusted EBITDA margin, and $10 million in GAAP operating income; it expects more than $100 million of free cash flow in the second half and is prioritizing debt repayment.
• Betting revenue grew 33%, supported by contract renewals, stronger in-play activity, and new prediction-market business. Genius said BetVision engagement was rising, while management argued that it can earn revenue across prediction-market customer acquisition, trading data, and settlement.
• Legend integration is progressing ahead of plan, with management citing early commercial synergies and strong engagement. Media revenue rose 126% year over year, and the Moment Engine added 279 advertisers in Q3, with net revenue retention of 224% versus Q2.
• Management sees prediction markets expanding its opportunity but acknowledged that regulation and the market structure may evolve; its 2028 targets do not assume NFL participation. The CEO also disclosed selling about 800,000 shares and collaring another 4.4 million shares, citing personal financial planning while saying he remains substantially invested.

Genius Sports Trading Down 5.2%

Shares of Genius Sports stock traded down $0.30 on Friday, reaching $5.62. The company had a trading volume of 1,624,038 shares, compared to its average volume of 6,488,388. The firm has a market cap of $1.38 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of -8.21 and a beta of 1.95. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.10, a current ratio of 0.97 and a quick ratio of 0.97. The firm’s 50-day moving average price is $6.56 and its two-hundred day moving average price is $6.23. Genius Sports has a 1 year low of $3.83 and a 1 year high of $11.57.

Insider Buying and Selling at Genius Sports

In other Genius Sports news, CEO Mark Locke sold 50,000 shares of Genius Sports stock in a transaction on Thursday, September 17th. The shares were sold at an average price of $6.54, for a total transaction of $327,000.00. Following the completion of the transaction, the chief executive officer directly owned 19,375,216 shares of the company’s stock, valued at $126,713,912.64. The trade was a 0.26% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The transaction was disclosed in a filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is available through this hyperlink. Also, insider Thomas Russell sold 50,000 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction on Thursday, September 17th. The shares were sold at an average price of $6.51, for a total transaction of $325,500.00. Following the transaction, the insider owned 471,467 shares in the company, valued at $3,069,250.17. This trade represents a 9.59% decrease in their position. The disclosure for this sale is available in the SEC filing. Insiders have sold a total of 850,000 shares of company stock worth $5,582,049 in the last 90 days. 16.60% of the stock is currently owned by insiders.

Analyst Ratings Changes

Several equities analysts have recently commented on GENI shares. Stifel Nicolaus lowered their target price on shares of Genius Sports from $8.50 to $7.00 and set a “hold” rating on the stock in a report on Monday, October 26th. BTIG Research cut their target price on shares of Genius Sports from $10.00 to $8.00 and set a “buy” rating for the company in a research note on Thursday. JPMorgan Chase & Co. initiated coverage on shares of Genius Sports in a report on Friday, September 25th. They issued an “overweight” rating and a $8.00 price target on the stock. Zacks Research cut shares of Genius Sports from a “hold” rating to a “strong sell” rating in a research note on Wednesday. Finally, Oppenheimer increased their price objective on shares of Genius Sports from $10.00 to $12.00 and gave the company an “outperform” rating in a report on Friday, August 7th. One research analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, fourteen have assigned a Buy rating, two have issued a Hold rating and two have assigned a Sell rating to the stock. According to data from MarketBeat.com, the company has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average price target of $10.82.

Key Genius Sports News

Here are the key news stories impacting Genius Sports this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Genius Sports raised its FY2026 outlook to $1.015 billion–$1.035 billion in revenue and $287 million–$297 million in adjusted EBITDA. It also reported $54 million in free cash flow, 61% free-cash-flow conversion and a 32% group adjusted EBITDA margin. Article: Genius Sports raises FY2026 outlook
• Positive Sentiment: Q3 revenue was $269.86 million, ahead of the $261.13 million analyst estimate and up 62.3% year over year. Article: Genius Sports reports Q3 earnings
• Neutral Sentiment: BTIG cut its price target from $10 to $8 but maintained a Buy rating, signaling reduced expectations while still seeing potential upside. BTIG Research ratings
• Negative Sentiment: Adjusted for investor focus on the quarterly results, EPS came in at a loss of $0.06, missing the consensus estimate of $0.01 earnings. Zacks Research also downgraded GENI from Hold to Strong Sell. Zacks Research ratings
• Negative Sentiment: Reports also highlighted higher debt following the Legend acquisition, adding to investor concerns alongside the EPS miss. Article: Q3 growth and higher debt

About Genius Sports

Genius Sports Limited (NYSE: GENI) is a sports technology and data company that provides official sports data, technology, and digital media solutions. Its platform helps sports organizations collect, manage, and distribute live game data while supporting fan engagement and commercial activities.

The company supplies real-time data and related products to sportsbooks, media companies, sports leagues, teams, and brands. Its services include live statistics, betting data and trading solutions, streaming and video content, digital marketing, sponsorship activation, and tools designed to connect sports audiences with content and advertising.

Genius Sports serves customers across international sports markets, including North America, Europe, and other regions.