Geo Group Inc (The) (NYSE:GEO) Receives Consensus Rating of “Moderate Buy” from Brokerages

Shares of Geo Group Inc (The) (NYSE:GEO) have earned a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” from the five research firms that are presently covering the firm, MarketBeat reports. Two equities research analysts have rated the stock with a hold rating and three have issued a buy rating on the company. The average 1-year price objective among brokerages that have updated their coverage on the stock in the last year is $35.00.

GEO has been the topic of a number of recent analyst reports. Jones Trading dropped their price target on Geo Group from $50.00 to $37.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a report on Friday, November 7th. Weiss Ratings restated a “hold (c)” rating on shares of Geo Group in a research note on Monday, December 29th. Zacks Research raised shares of Geo Group from a “strong sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a report on Friday, January 9th. Finally, Wall Street Zen upgraded Geo Group from a “hold” rating to a “buy” rating in a research report on Saturday, December 13th.

Key Geo Group News

Here are the key news stories impacting Geo Group this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Founder/leadership continuity — GEO announced CEO J. David Donahue will retire Feb. 28 and founder/executive chairman Dr. George C. Zoley will resume the CEO role effective March 1 under an amended employment agreement, a move that should provide management continuity. The GEO Group Announces Corporate Reorganization
• Neutral Sentiment: Q4 results and 2026 guidance released — GEO reported fourth-quarter revenue of $707.7M and issued initial 2026 guidance; details give investors updated top-line context even though profit metrics disappointed. The GEO Group Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Results
• Neutral Sentiment: Q4 snapshot/analyst context — brief Q4 earnings snapshot and previews summarize key metrics investors should watch (margins, contract performance, guidance assumptions). Geo Group: Q4 Earnings Snapshot
• Neutral Sentiment: Earnings previews provided market expectations and factors to watch ahead of/around the print. GEO Group (GEO) Q4 earnings report preview: What to look for
• Neutral Sentiment: Key fundamentals — market cap ~$2.2B, trailing P/E ~9.3, 50-/200-day moving averages show the stock trading below longer-term average; liquidity ratios are healthy but leverage remains meaningful (D/E ~1.02).
• Negative Sentiment: Earnings miss pressure — analysts and headlines flagged a Q4 EPS miss that overshadowed the revenue beat, which is dragging sentiment and weighing on the stock. GEO Group shares edge down as Q4 earnings miss overshadows revenue beat
• Negative Sentiment: Legal headwinds — courts denied a rehearing related to an injunction (coverage notes judicial criticism), a development that underscores ongoing litigation risk tied to contracts and operations. No rehearing for GEO Group
• Negative Sentiment: Judicial commentary — reporting indicates judges publicly decried the denial of a rehearing in GEO’s matter, highlighting legal and reputational exposure. GEO Group’s Denied Re-Hearing for Injunction Decried by Judges
• Negative Sentiment: ESG/shareholder tension — reports that GEO rejected a shareholder vote on a human-rights review raise ESG and governance concerns that can pressure institutional holders and public perception. Priests say ICE contractor GEO rejected shareholder vote on human rights review

Hedge Funds Weigh In On Geo Group

Several institutional investors have recently modified their holdings of the company. Geneos Wealth Management Inc. lifted its holdings in shares of Geo Group by 245.1% in the 2nd quarter. Geneos Wealth Management Inc. now owns 1,101 shares of the real estate investment trust’s stock worth $26,000 after acquiring an additional 782 shares during the last quarter. IFP Advisors Inc purchased a new position in Geo Group during the 4th quarter valued at $30,000. Bayforest Capital Ltd purchased a new stake in shares of Geo Group in the 4th quarter worth about $37,000. Daytona Street Capital LLC bought a new stake in shares of Geo Group during the 4th quarter valued at about $53,000. Finally, NewEdge Advisors LLC raised its stake in Geo Group by 81.9% in the first quarter. NewEdge Advisors LLC now owns 1,864 shares of the real estate investment trust’s stock worth $54,000 after buying an additional 839 shares in the last quarter. 76.10% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors.

Geo Group Stock Performance

Shares of Geo Group stock opened at $15.06 on Thursday. Geo Group has a 1-year low of $14.27 and a 1-year high of $32.09. The company has a current ratio of 1.62, a quick ratio of 1.62 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.02. The business has a 50-day moving average price of $16.64 and a two-hundred day moving average price of $18.38. The company has a market cap of $2.10 billion, a P/E ratio of 8.86 and a beta of 0.73.

Geo Group (NYSE:GEO) last announced its quarterly earnings data on Thursday, February 12th. The real estate investment trust reported $0.25 earnings per share for the quarter, meeting the consensus estimate of $0.25. Geo Group had a net margin of 9.41% and a return on equity of 7.42%. During the same quarter last year, the company earned $0.13 EPS. The firm’s revenue for the quarter was up 16.5% compared to the same quarter last year. Geo Group has set its Q1 2026 guidance at 0.170-0.190 EPS and its FY 2026 guidance at 0.990-1.070 EPS. As a group, analysts anticipate that Geo Group will post 0.83 EPS for the current year.

About Geo Group

The GEO Group (NYSE:GEO) is a leading provider of correctional, detention and community reentry services to government agencies around the world. As a real estate investment trust, the company specializes in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities for adult and juvenile offenders, immigration detainees and individuals requiring mental health treatment or substance abuse programming. GEO’s integrated service model also encompasses electronic monitoring, rehabilitative programming and post-release supervision aimed at reducing recidivism and enhancing public safety.

GEO’s portfolio spans a range of facility types, including medium- and maximum-security correctional institutions, residential reentry centers, mental health treatment units and immigration detention centers.