What is Noble Financial’s Forecast for ARLP Q1 Earnings?

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. (NASDAQ:ARLP) – Equities researchers at Noble Financial boosted their Q1 2026 earnings per share (EPS) estimates for Alliance Resource Partners in a report issued on Wednesday, February 4th. Noble Financial analyst M. Reichman now forecasts that the energy company will post earnings per share of $0.61 for the quarter, up from their previous forecast of $0.60. The consensus estimate for Alliance Resource Partners’ current full-year earnings is $2.72 per share.

Alliance Resource Partners (NASDAQ:ARLP) last issued its earnings results on Monday, February 2nd. The energy company reported $0.75 earnings per share for the quarter, topping analysts’ consensus estimates of $0.61 by $0.14. The business had revenue of $535.51 million during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $556.82 million. Alliance Resource Partners had a return on equity of 18.50% and a net margin of 14.18%.

ARLP has been the topic of several other research reports. Benchmark restated a “buy” rating on shares of Alliance Resource Partners in a report on Tuesday. Weiss Ratings reissued a “hold (c+)” rating on shares of Alliance Resource Partners in a report on Monday, December 29th. Zacks Research lowered Alliance Resource Partners from a “hold” rating to a “strong sell” rating in a report on Monday, January 5th. Finally, Wall Street Zen cut Alliance Resource Partners from a “strong-buy” rating to a “buy” rating in a research report on Saturday, January 3rd. Two investment analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, one has issued a Hold rating and one has given a Sell rating to the company. According to data from MarketBeat.com, the company currently has a consensus rating of “Hold” and an average price target of $29.50.

Alliance Resource Partners Stock Performance

Shares of ARLP stock opened at $24.54 on Friday. The company has a quick ratio of 1.39, a current ratio of 1.90 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.24. The company has a 50 day moving average price of $24.01 and a 200-day moving average price of $24.36. Alliance Resource Partners has a 52 week low of $22.20 and a 52 week high of $28.39. The firm has a market capitalization of $3.15 billion, a PE ratio of 10.23 and a beta of 0.34.

Alliance Resource Partners Announces Dividend

The business also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Friday, February 13th. Investors of record on Friday, February 6th will be given a dividend of $0.60 per share. The ex-dividend date is Friday, February 6th. This represents a $2.40 annualized dividend and a yield of 9.8%. Alliance Resource Partners’s payout ratio is 100.00%.

Institutional Trading of Alliance Resource Partners

Hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently bought and sold shares of the stock. Parvin Asset Management LLC bought a new position in shares of Alliance Resource Partners in the second quarter worth about $27,000. Sound Income Strategies LLC bought a new position in shares of Alliance Resource Partners during the 4th quarter valued at approximately $36,000. Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Co. increased its holdings in Alliance Resource Partners by 135.0% in the 3rd quarter. Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Co. now owns 1,523 shares of the energy company’s stock worth $39,000 after acquiring an additional 875 shares in the last quarter. Triumph Capital Management bought a new stake in Alliance Resource Partners during the 3rd quarter worth approximately $46,000. Finally, Halbert Hargrove Global Advisors LLC bought a new stake in Alliance Resource Partners during the 3rd quarter worth approximately $51,000. Hedge funds and other institutional investors own 18.11% of the company’s stock.

Key Alliance Resource Partners News

Here are the key news stories impacting Alliance Resource Partners this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Q4 earnings showed an EPS beat and healthy margins — ARLP reported $0.75 EPS (above consensus) with solid net margin and ROE, supporting cash flow and distribution coverage; this helps justify valuation and income-focused demand for the stock.
• Positive Sentiment: Seeking Alpha argues the company is positioned for a sustained profitability lift due to disciplined costs and favorable contract dynamics, which could underpin longer-term earnings power and distributions. Alliance Resource: Betting On The Sustained Profitability Hike
• Neutral Sentiment: Earnings call transcript now available — useful for direct management commentary on volumes, costs, capital allocation and customer contracts; investors should read the transcript for specifics behind the quarter. Q4 2025 earnings call transcript
• Positive Sentiment: Noble Financial issued several small upward revisions to quarterly/FY2028 estimates (e.g., slight raises to Q3/Q4 2026 and FY2028), signaling some analyst confidence in continued profitability and cash generation — a modest tailwind for sentiment.
• Negative Sentiment: Yahoo Finance flagged a potential mine-closure test and customer-concentration risk — operational or customer disruptions could hit volumes and revenue, increasing downside risk to near-term results. Alliance Resource Partners Faces Mine Closure Test And Customer Concentration Risk
• Negative Sentiment: Noble Financial cut several near- and medium-term EPS forecasts (FY2026, FY2027 and FY2029 were trimmed modestly; Q2 2026 estimate lowered), which may pressure sentiment by lowering forward expectations despite the quarterly beat.

About Alliance Resource Partners

Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. (NASDAQ: ARLP) is a Tulsa, Oklahoma–based master limited partnership engaged in the production, marketing and transportation of bituminous coal. Through its subsidiaries, the company develops, owns and operates surface and underground coal mines, providing fuel primarily for electric power generation and various industrial applications. Alliance’s integrated business model covers the extraction of raw coal, processing at preparation plants and delivery to domestic and export customers.

The partnership operates multiple mining complexes across Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky and West Virginia.