Graphic Packaging (NYSE:GPK) Updates FY 2026 Earnings Guidance

Graphic Packaging (NYSE:GPK) issued an update on its FY 2026 earnings guidance on Tuesday morning. The company provided earnings per share (EPS) guidance of 0.750-1.15 for the period, compared to the consensus estimate of 1.780. The company issued revenue guidance of $8.4 billion-$8.6 billion, compared to the consensus revenue estimate of $8.5 billion.

Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth

GPK has been the subject of several research reports. Bank of America reissued a “neutral” rating and issued a $24.00 target price on shares of Graphic Packaging in a research report on Thursday, October 9th. Truist Financial decreased their price objective on Graphic Packaging from $20.00 to $18.00 and set a “hold” rating for the company in a report on Tuesday, January 6th. UBS Group dropped their price objective on shares of Graphic Packaging from $19.00 to $17.00 and set a “neutral” rating on the stock in a report on Monday, January 12th. Royal Bank Of Canada set a $16.00 target price on shares of Graphic Packaging and gave the stock a “sector perform” rating in a research note on Thursday, January 15th. Finally, Raymond James Financial cut shares of Graphic Packaging from an “outperform” rating to a “market perform” rating in a research note on Friday, October 17th. Eight analysts have rated the stock with a Hold rating and three have assigned a Sell rating to the stock. Based on data from MarketBeat, the company has an average rating of “Reduce” and an average target price of $18.38.

Graphic Packaging Price Performance

Graphic Packaging stock traded down $1.89 during midday trading on Tuesday, reaching $12.89. 5,221,862 shares of the stock were exchanged, compared to its average volume of 4,940,074. Graphic Packaging has a 52 week low of $13.30 and a 52 week high of $28.19. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.67, a quick ratio of 0.63 and a current ratio of 1.54. The firm has a market cap of $3.81 billion, a PE ratio of 7.70 and a beta of 0.62. The company’s fifty day moving average is $15.40 and its 200-day moving average is $18.18.

Graphic Packaging (NYSE:GPK) last released its quarterly earnings results on Tuesday, February 3rd. The industrial products company reported $0.29 EPS for the quarter, missing analysts’ consensus estimates of $0.40 by ($0.11). Graphic Packaging had a net margin of 5.94% and a return on equity of 19.98%. The firm had revenue of $2.10 billion for the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $2.04 billion. During the same quarter last year, the firm earned $0.59 earnings per share. The firm’s revenue for the quarter was up .4% on a year-over-year basis. Graphic Packaging has set its FY 2026 guidance at 0.750-1.15 EPS. On average, sell-side analysts forecast that Graphic Packaging will post 2.47 EPS for the current year.

Graphic Packaging Announces Dividend

The firm also recently declared a quarterly dividend, which was paid on Wednesday, January 7th. Shareholders of record on Monday, December 15th were issued a $0.11 dividend. The ex-dividend date of this dividend was Monday, December 15th. This represents a $0.44 annualized dividend and a dividend yield of 3.4%. Graphic Packaging’s dividend payout ratio (DPR) is presently 25.88%.

Graphic Packaging News Roundup

Here are the key news stories impacting Graphic Packaging this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Q4 revenue slightly beat estimates — Net sales of $2.10B topped the consensus (~$2.04B), showing modest top-line resilience even as profits fell. Graphic Packaging surprises with Q4 sales
• Positive Sentiment: Affirmed 2026 adjusted free cash flow target of $700M–$800M, which supports liquidity and deleveraging plans. PR Newswire: Q4 and Full-Year 2025 Results
• Positive Sentiment: Waco plant project substantially complete; total projected spend $1.67B with $1.58B spent through 2025 — capex cycle largely behind the company. PR Newswire: Q4 and Full-Year 2025 Results
• Neutral Sentiment: The company initiated a comprehensive review of operations and a selective portfolio review — a potential cost/strategic response that could lead to restructuring benefits but signals operational pressure. PR Newswire: Q4 and Full-Year 2025 Results
• Negative Sentiment: Q4 EPS missed expectations — GAAP EPS $0.29 vs. consensus ~$0.34–$0.40; this decline from $0.59 a year ago highlights margin pressure. Zacks: Q4 Earnings Miss
• Negative Sentiment: FY2026 EPS guidance materially below consensus — company guided $0.75–$1.15 vs. street ~$1.78, a large shortfall that likely drove most of the negative market reaction. Investor Presentation / Press Release
• Negative Sentiment: Year-over-year profitability declined — 2025 net income $444M vs. $658M in 2024 and Q4 net income down materially, reflecting margin compression. PR Newswire: Q4 and Full-Year 2025 Results

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Several hedge funds and other institutional investors have recently added to or reduced their stakes in GPK. Quarry LP raised its position in Graphic Packaging by 282.0% during the third quarter. Quarry LP now owns 1,547 shares of the industrial products company’s stock valued at $30,000 after purchasing an additional 1,142 shares in the last quarter. Danske Bank A S purchased a new position in shares of Graphic Packaging during the 3rd quarter valued at about $45,000. State of Wyoming raised its holdings in shares of Graphic Packaging by 96.1% during the 2nd quarter. State of Wyoming now owns 3,527 shares of the industrial products company’s stock valued at $74,000 after buying an additional 1,728 shares in the last quarter. Vestcor Inc bought a new stake in Graphic Packaging in the 3rd quarter worth approximately $189,000. Finally, Brooklyn Investment Group grew its position in Graphic Packaging by 348.8% during the third quarter. Brooklyn Investment Group now owns 11,504 shares of the industrial products company’s stock valued at $225,000 after acquiring an additional 8,941 shares during the last quarter. 99.67% of the stock is currently owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.

About Graphic Packaging

Graphic Packaging Holding Company is a leading provider of sustainable paperboard packaging solutions, offering a broad portfolio of products designed for food, beverage and other consumer goods markets. The company specializes in the manufacture of containerboard, folding cartons and engineered fill materials, as well as beverage packaging systems including paperboard cups, carriers and related components.

Through a network of manufacturing facilities across North America, Europe and Latin America, Graphic Packaging serves a diverse customer base that includes major consumer packaged goods companies, quick-service restaurants and retail chains.