Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI) Posts Quarterly Earnings Results, Misses Expectations By $0.12 EPS

Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI) issued its earnings results on Thursday. The company reported ($0.21) earnings per share for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of ($0.09) by ($0.12), FiscalAI reports. Genius Sports had a negative return on equity of 13.66% and a negative net margin of 16.67%.The company had revenue of $187.95 million for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $170.60 million. During the same quarter in the previous year, the company posted ($0.03) earnings per share. The company’s quarterly revenue was up 30.5% compared to the same quarter last year.

Here are the key takeaways from Genius Sports’ conference call:

• Legend acquisition closed; integration is underway and management says the deal is immediately margin‑accretive, raising 2026 adjusted EBITDA margin guidance from 23% to 28% and pulling long‑term margin targets forward by two years.
• Q1 showed broad-based strength with group revenue up 31%, adjusted EBITDA up 21%, betting +33% and media +22%, supported by 120%–130% net revenue retention and a geographically diversified customer base.
• The newly launched Moment Engine has rapid commercial traction (integrated with ~90% of the programmatic ecosystem, ~70 new advertisers) and early high‑yield advertiser wins (e.g., Samsung increased spend 220%), which management expects to drive high‑margin media revenue over time.
• Management highlighted a meaningful early opportunity in prediction markets—onboarding market makers to its low‑latency feeds and expecting incremental data and ad demand—but noted the regulatory framework is evolving and most upside is not yet included in guidance.
• Guidance and financing: full‑year 2026 revenue of $990M–$1.01B and adjusted EBITDA of $270M–$280M (Q2 ~ $185M revenue / $45M adj EBITDA); the company closed an $825M Term Loan A at SOFR+350bp with conservative sizing, expects a seasonal Q2 cash low point and ~ $100M of cash generation in H2 (50%–55% conversion), and targets improved FCF conversion into 2027–2028.

Genius Sports Stock Performance

Genius Sports stock traded down $0.39 during trading on Friday, hitting $4.39. The company’s stock had a trading volume of 6,044,895 shares, compared to its average volume of 6,221,824. The stock’s fifty day moving average is $4.83 and its 200 day moving average is $8.00. Genius Sports has a 1-year low of $3.83 and a 1-year high of $13.73. The stock has a market capitalization of $1.08 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of -10.22 and a beta of 1.80.

Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth

Several analysts have weighed in on the company. BTIG Research lowered their target price on Genius Sports from $10.00 to $9.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a report on Thursday. Needham & Company LLC decreased their price objective on shares of Genius Sports from $14.00 to $10.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a research report on Friday. UBS Group reissued a “buy” rating on shares of Genius Sports in a research note on Wednesday, March 4th. Oppenheimer cut their target price on shares of Genius Sports from $12.00 to $11.00 and set an “outperform” rating for the company in a research report on Thursday, March 5th. Finally, Guggenheim reduced their price target on shares of Genius Sports from $17.00 to $12.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a report on Friday, February 6th. Three equities research analysts have rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, thirteen have given a Buy rating, two have issued a Hold rating and one has assigned a Sell rating to the company’s stock. According to data from MarketBeat, the company has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus price target of $11.78.

Institutional Investors Weigh In On Genius Sports

A number of institutional investors have recently bought and sold shares of GENI. Wellington Management Group LLP increased its position in Genius Sports by 17.9% during the third quarter. Wellington Management Group LLP now owns 13,513,537 shares of the company’s stock worth $167,298,000 after purchasing an additional 2,051,503 shares during the last quarter. Senvest Management LLC boosted its holdings in shares of Genius Sports by 13.7% in the 4th quarter. Senvest Management LLC now owns 9,410,567 shares of the company’s stock valued at $103,704,000 after purchasing an additional 1,135,577 shares during the last quarter. Invesco Ltd. grew its stake in shares of Genius Sports by 50.6% during the 3rd quarter. Invesco Ltd. now owns 4,957,261 shares of the company’s stock valued at $61,371,000 after buying an additional 1,665,626 shares during the period. The Manufacturers Life Insurance Company increased its holdings in shares of Genius Sports by 4.9% during the 4th quarter. The Manufacturers Life Insurance Company now owns 3,782,506 shares of the company’s stock worth $41,683,000 after buying an additional 176,184 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Ophir Asset Management Pty Ltd increased its holdings in shares of Genius Sports by 28.9% during the 4th quarter. Ophir Asset Management Pty Ltd now owns 3,771,695 shares of the company’s stock worth $41,564,000 after buying an additional 844,661 shares during the last quarter. 81.91% of the stock is currently owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.

Genius Sports News Roundup

Here are the key news stories impacting Genius Sports this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Several analysts still see significant upside in Genius Sports, even after trimming price targets: Citi cut its target to $8, BTIG to $9, and Needham to $10, all while maintaining buy ratings. That suggests analysts still view the recent selloff as overdone relative to the company’s long-term potential.
• Positive Sentiment: Genius Sports raised its outlook and highlighted growth tied to prediction markets, which could become an additional revenue tailwind if that trend continues. Genius Sports Touts Prediction Market Growth, Raises Outlook
• Positive Sentiment: Investor interest is also being supported by bullish coverage framing Genius Sports as a beneficiary of the broader prediction-market boom, reinforcing the stock’s longer-term growth narrative. Kalshi vs. Polymarket? This Small-Cap Sports Data Stock Is the Surefire Winner Either Way.
• Neutral Sentiment: The company reported first-quarter revenue of $187.95 million, above expectations and up 30.5% year over year, but earnings missed estimates at a loss of $0.21 per share versus the expected $0.09 loss. The revenue beat is constructive, but the earnings miss likely kept sentiment mixed. Genius Sports quarterly earnings report

About Genius Sports

Genius Sports is a global sports technology company that specializes in collecting, analyzing and distributing real-time sports data and video streams. The firm provides official data feeds, live video streaming solutions and digital engagement tools to sports leagues, federations, broadcasters and betting operators. By integrating data directly from sporting events through its network of field officials and proprietary technology, Genius Sports ensures accuracy and integrity for partners who rely on up-to-the-second information.

The company’s product suite includes a cloud-based platform for data capture and distribution, an integrity services offering designed to identify and mitigate match-fixing risks, and a suite of commercial products that power odds creation, in-game betting markets and fan engagement experiences.