Wells Fargo & Company Issues Pessimistic Forecast for Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI) Stock Price

Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI) had its price objective reduced by research analysts at Wells Fargo & Company from $10.00 to $9.00 in a research report issued to clients and investors on Thursday,Benzinga reports. The firm currently has an “overweight” rating on the stock. Wells Fargo & Company‘s price objective suggests a potential upside of 49.25% from the stock’s previous close.

Several other research analysts also recently weighed in on the company. New Street Research set a $17.00 price target on Genius Sports in a report on Thursday, December 4th. Weiss Ratings reiterated a “sell (d-)” rating on shares of Genius Sports in a research note on Monday, December 29th. Stifel Nicolaus dropped their target price on Genius Sports from $10.00 to $7.00 and set a “hold” rating on the stock in a report on Thursday, February 19th. Northland Securities set a $12.00 price objective on shares of Genius Sports in a report on Friday, February 6th. Finally, Macquarie Infrastructure reiterated an “outperform” rating and set a $15.00 target price on shares of Genius Sports in a research note on Wednesday, November 5th. Three equities research analysts have rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, fourteen have given a Buy rating, two have given a Hold rating and one has issued a Sell rating to the stock. According to data from MarketBeat.com, the company presently has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus price target of $13.00.

Genius Sports Trading Down 0.2%

Shares of NYSE:GENI traded down $0.01 during midday trading on Thursday, hitting $6.03. The stock had a trading volume of 4,207,945 shares, compared to its average volume of 6,650,655. The company has a market capitalization of $1.30 billion, a PE ratio of -12.82 and a beta of 1.91. Genius Sports has a 1 year low of $5.60 and a 1 year high of $13.73. The stock has a 50 day moving average price of $8.46 and a two-hundred day moving average price of $10.46.

Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI) last released its earnings results on Wednesday, March 4th. The company reported ($0.08) EPS for the quarter, missing analysts’ consensus estimates of $0.02 by ($0.10). The business had revenue of $240.50 million during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $234.94 million. Genius Sports had a negative net margin of 19.71% and a negative return on equity of 14.39%. Genius Sports’s revenue was up 37.0% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same period last year, the business posted ($0.12) EPS. As a group, equities analysts expect that Genius Sports will post -0.1 EPS for the current year.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Institutional investors and hedge funds have recently bought and sold shares of the company. TimesSquare Capital Management LLC acquired a new stake in shares of Genius Sports during the 4th quarter worth approximately $59,851,000. Global Alpha Capital Management Ltd. bought a new stake in shares of Genius Sports during the second quarter valued at approximately $43,552,000. Invesco Ltd. increased its stake in shares of Genius Sports by 3,584.2% in the 2nd quarter. Invesco Ltd. now owns 3,291,635 shares of the company’s stock valued at $34,233,000 after buying an additional 3,202,290 shares during the period. Balyasny Asset Management L.P. raised its holdings in Genius Sports by 785.5% during the 4th quarter. Balyasny Asset Management L.P. now owns 3,289,270 shares of the company’s stock worth $36,248,000 after purchasing an additional 2,917,830 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Voss Capital LP boosted its stake in Genius Sports by 35.4% in the fourth quarter. Voss Capital LP now owns 11,100,000 shares of the company’s stock valued at $122,322,000 after acquiring an additional 2,900,000 shares during the last quarter. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 81.91% of the company’s stock.

Key Stories Impacting Genius Sports

Here are the key news stories impacting Genius Sports this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Revenue and profitability trends: Company reported strong top‑line growth (quarterly revenue ~ $240.5M, roughly +31–37% YoY) and public commentary highlights a ~59% EBITDA increase for 2025 — a core reason traders are optimistic. Genius Sports Stock Rallies
• Positive Sentiment: Raised-ish revenue guidance: Management set FY‑2026 revenue guidance of $810M–$820M, slightly above consensus, which supports a bullish view on growth execution. Earnings Summary
• Neutral Sentiment: Analyst ratings and price targets: Needham and BTIG both cut price targets (Needham $16→$14; BTIG $16→$11) but kept “buy” ratings — these trims temper upside expectations but still imply substantial upside from current levels. Benzinga
• Neutral Sentiment: Full disclosure available: Earnings transcript, slide deck and call transcripts are published — useful for digging into segment performance, margin drivers and commentary on recent deals (e.g., Legend acquisition). Earnings Transcript
• Negative Sentiment: EPS miss and margins: Reported EPS of ($0.08) missed consensus (~$0.02), and the company still shows a negative net margin and negative return on equity, which are weighing on valuation and near‑term investor confidence. Earnings Summary
• Negative Sentiment: Market reaction and deal uncertainty: Shares dipped after the earnings miss and commentary; analysts and some investors remain divided on the strategic impact and integration risks from the Legend acquisition, which adds execution risk. Investing.com

Genius Sports Company Profile

Genius Sports is a global sports technology company that specializes in collecting, analyzing and distributing real-time sports data and video streams. The firm provides official data feeds, live video streaming solutions and digital engagement tools to sports leagues, federations, broadcasters and betting operators. By integrating data directly from sporting events through its network of field officials and proprietary technology, Genius Sports ensures accuracy and integrity for partners who rely on up-to-the-second information.

The company’s product suite includes a cloud-based platform for data capture and distribution, an integrity services offering designed to identify and mitigate match-fixing risks, and a suite of commercial products that power odds creation, in-game betting markets and fan engagement experiences.