Hillman Solutions (NASDAQ:HLMN) Announces Earnings Results, Meets Estimates

Hillman Solutions (NASDAQ:HLMN) released its quarterly earnings results on Tuesday. The company reported $0.10 EPS for the quarter, meeting analysts’ consensus estimates of $0.10, FiscalAI reports. The business had revenue of $365.14 million during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $371.69 million. Hillman Solutions had a return on equity of 9.71% and a net margin of 2.44%.Hillman Solutions’s quarterly revenue was up 4.5% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same quarter in the prior year, the company posted $0.10 EPS.

Here are the key takeaways from Hillman Solutions’ conference call:

• Hillman delivered a record 2025 with net sales up 5.4% to $1.552B and adjusted EBITDA up 13.9% to $275.3M, driven by price, the Intex DIY acquisition, and new business wins.
• 2026 guidance calls for net sales $1.6–$1.7B (mid $1.65B, +6.3%), adjusted EBITDA $275–$285M (mid +1.7%), and FCF $100–$120M, signaling top-line growth but only modest EBITDA expansion.
• Management warned 2025 benefited from timing (price increases and pre-tariff lower-cost inventory) and expects tariffs to be fully realized in Q1 2026, with adjusted gross margin normalizing to about 46%–47%.
• Robotics & Digital Solutions is recovering — Hillman has nearly 3,500 MiniKey 3.5 machines deployed, completed major customer rollouts in 2025, and expects continued rollout and growth through 2026.
• Financial flexibility remains intact — net debt improved to 2.4x LTM adjusted EBITDA, liquidity ~$306M, plan to repurchase shares opportunistically, and a healthy M&A pipeline with an expectation of 1–2 bolt‑on deals in 2026.

Hillman Solutions Stock Down 10.1%

Shares of HLMN stock opened at $9.04 on Wednesday. The stock has a market cap of $1.78 billion, a P/E ratio of 47.58 and a beta of 1.65. The company’s fifty day simple moving average is $9.52 and its two-hundred day simple moving average is $9.39. The company has a quick ratio of 0.77, a current ratio of 2.46 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.56. Hillman Solutions has a 52 week low of $6.55 and a 52 week high of $10.85.

Wall Street Analysts Forecast Growth

A number of analysts recently commented on HLMN shares. Weiss Ratings reaffirmed a “hold (c)” rating on shares of Hillman Solutions in a research note on Friday, January 9th. Canaccord Genuity Group reissued a “buy” rating and issued a $15.00 price target on shares of Hillman Solutions in a research note on Monday, November 24th. Finally, Wall Street Zen raised Hillman Solutions from a “buy” rating to a “strong-buy” rating in a research report on Saturday, January 17th. Four analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating and three have given a Hold rating to the company. Based on data from MarketBeat.com, the stock currently has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average price target of $11.83.

Institutional Trading of Hillman Solutions

Several hedge funds have recently modified their holdings of HLMN. AQR Capital Management LLC increased its position in Hillman Solutions by 4.6% in the fourth quarter. AQR Capital Management LLC now owns 102,070 shares of the company’s stock worth $884,000 after purchasing an additional 4,490 shares during the last quarter. Lazard Asset Management LLC bought a new stake in shares of Hillman Solutions in the 4th quarter worth about $1,567,000. Amundi purchased a new stake in shares of Hillman Solutions during the 4th quarter valued at about $182,000. Price T Rowe Associates Inc. MD lifted its holdings in shares of Hillman Solutions by 13.6% in the 4th quarter. Price T Rowe Associates Inc. MD now owns 195,348 shares of the company’s stock valued at $1,692,000 after acquiring an additional 23,431 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Russell Investments Group Ltd. grew its position in Hillman Solutions by 5.9% in the fourth quarter. Russell Investments Group Ltd. now owns 431,796 shares of the company’s stock worth $3,739,000 after acquiring an additional 24,109 shares in the last quarter. 98.11% of the stock is owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.

Key Stories Impacting Hillman Solutions

Here are the key news stories impacting Hillman Solutions this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Record 2025 results and profitability turnaround — Hillman reported FY2025 net sales of $1.55B (up 5.4%), net income of $40.3M (vs. a loss in 2024) and adjusted EBITDA up ~13.9%, showing stronger margins and operating improvement. QuiverQuant: Full Release
• Positive Sentiment: 2026 guidance implies growth — Hillman guided FY2026 net sales of $1.60–1.70B, adjusted EBITDA $275–285M and free cash flow $100–120M, signaling management expects continued top‑line and cash‑flow recovery. Seeking Alpha: 2026 Target & Strategy
• Positive Sentiment: Share repurchases — management repurchased ~1.4M shares at an average $9.07, modestly supporting EPS and signaling board confidence. QuiverQuant: Repurchase Note
• Neutral Sentiment: EPS in line with expectations — Q4 adjusted EPS was $0.10, matching consensus, which tempers volatility but offered no upside surprise. Zacks: Earnings Meet Estimates
• Neutral Sentiment: Q4 sales grew year‑over‑year (+4.5%) but lacked upside versus forecasts — underlying growth is positive but mixed against analyst models. Yahoo: Call Highlights
• Negative Sentiment: Q4 revenue missed consensus — sales were $365.1M vs. analyst estimate ~$371.7M, which can pressure near‑term sentiment since revenue is the main beat/miss driver. Investing.com: Revenue Miss
• Negative Sentiment: Operating cash flow and free cash flow weakened — cash from operations fell to $105.2M (from $183.3M) and FCF to $35.1M (from $98.1M), raising short‑term liquidity and reinvestment concerns despite debt improvements. QuiverQuant: Cash Flow Details
• Negative Sentiment: ERP rollout execution risk disclosed — the company flagged multi‑year ERP implementation risk that could disrupt operations and cash flow if problems arise, a material operational risk to monitor. TipRanks: ERP Execution Risk

About Hillman Solutions

Hillman Solutions (NASDAQ:HLMN) is a leading provider of hardware and related products to the home improvement, retail, industrial and manufacturing markets. The company’s portfolio encompasses key duplication systems and security solutions, hardware essentials such as fasteners and anchors, signage and labeling products, and outdoor and seasonal items. Hillman’s product offerings are sold through a network of major home improvement retailers, wholesalers, independent distributors and other specialty outlets.

Founded in 1964 and headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio, Hillman grew from a family-run enterprise into a global supplier of hardware solutions.