Guggenheim Has Lowered Expectations for Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI) Stock Price

Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI) had its target price dropped by investment analysts at Guggenheim from $17.00 to $12.00 in a research report issued on Friday,Benzinga reports. The firm presently has a “buy” rating on the stock. Guggenheim’s price objective would indicate a potential upside of 95.60% from the company’s current price.

Other research analysts have also recently issued research reports about the company. Benchmark reiterated a “buy” rating and issued a $16.00 price objective on shares of Genius Sports in a research report on Tuesday, December 30th. Macquarie reiterated an “outperform” rating and issued a $15.00 price target on shares of Genius Sports in a report on Wednesday, November 5th. Zacks Research upgraded shares of Genius Sports from a “strong sell” rating to a “hold” rating in a research note on Thursday, December 4th. Citizens Jmp increased their target price on shares of Genius Sports from $15.00 to $17.00 and gave the company a “market outperform” rating in a report on Thursday, December 4th. Finally, Stifel Nicolaus assumed coverage on Genius Sports in a report on Wednesday, January 21st. They issued a “hold” rating and a $10.00 target price on the stock. Three research analysts have rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, fourteen have assigned a Buy rating, three have assigned a Hold rating and one has given a Sell rating to the company’s stock. According to MarketBeat, the stock currently has a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average price target of $14.64.

Genius Sports Stock Down 0.9%

NYSE GENI traded down $0.06 during trading hours on Friday, hitting $6.14. 2,947,404 shares of the stock were exchanged, compared to its average volume of 5,855,075. The company has a market cap of $1.32 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of -13.04 and a beta of 1.85. Genius Sports has a 12-month low of $6.00 and a 12-month high of $13.73. The stock has a 50-day moving average of $10.22 and a 200 day moving average of $11.20.

Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI) last issued its earnings results on Tuesday, November 4th. The company reported ($0.11) earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, missing analysts’ consensus estimates of $0.07 by ($0.18). The business had revenue of $166.28 million for the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $156.24 million. Genius Sports had a negative return on equity of 14.39% and a negative net margin of 19.71%. On average, equities research analysts expect that Genius Sports will post -0.1 earnings per share for the current year.

Institutional Investors Weigh In On Genius Sports

A number of institutional investors have recently bought and sold shares of the stock. CWM LLC grew its stake in shares of Genius Sports by 275.5% during the second quarter. CWM LLC now owns 3,980 shares of the company’s stock valued at $41,000 after acquiring an additional 2,920 shares in the last quarter. Aster Capital Management DIFC Ltd purchased a new position in Genius Sports in the third quarter valued at about $65,000. Strs Ohio grew its stake in Genius Sports by 178.9% during the 3rd quarter. Strs Ohio now owns 5,300 shares of the company’s stock valued at $66,000 after purchasing an additional 3,400 shares in the last quarter. FNY Investment Advisers LLC purchased a new stake in Genius Sports during the 2nd quarter worth approximately $75,000. Finally, Amalgamated Bank acquired a new position in shares of Genius Sports in the 2nd quarter valued at approximately $79,000. 81.91% of the stock is currently owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.

Genius Sports News Roundup

Here are the key news stories impacting Genius Sports this week:

• Positive Sentiment: BTIG reaffirmed a Buy rating and kept a $16.00 price target on GENI, signaling analyst conviction that the Legend deal is value-accretive and implying substantial upside versus current levels. Analyst Note
• Positive Sentiment: Genius says the Legend acquisition will create an integrated sports-data + media platform intended to better monetize attention and betting-related data; the company expects the deal to be immediately accretive to Group Adjusted EBITDA margins. Press Release
• Neutral Sentiment: Genius updated FY‑2025 revenue guidance to about $669M (above consensus ~$656M), which supports revenue growth expectations but the EPS guidance detail was not clearly provided in the release. Company Update
• Neutral Sentiment: The deal consideration is up to $1.2B (approximately $900M at close plus up to $300M earnout), which management says is accretive to margins but raises questions about financing, integration risk and earnout contingencies. Deal Coverage
• Negative Sentiment: Market reaction was negative: shares plunged sharply after the Legend announcement as some investors worried about deal size, execution risk and potential dilution. This sell-off was widely reported across outlets. Market Reaction
• Negative Sentiment: Commentary notes retail investor wariness and concerns that the business model (data + media monetization) will take time to realize returns, increasing near-term volatility and downside risk if integration stalls. Retail Sentiment

About Genius Sports

Genius Sports is a global sports technology company that specializes in collecting, analyzing and distributing real-time sports data and video streams. The firm provides official data feeds, live video streaming solutions and digital engagement tools to sports leagues, federations, broadcasters and betting operators. By integrating data directly from sporting events through its network of field officials and proprietary technology, Genius Sports ensures accuracy and integrity for partners who rely on up-to-the-second information.

The company’s product suite includes a cloud-based platform for data capture and distribution, an integrity services offering designed to identify and mitigate match-fixing risks, and a suite of commercial products that power odds creation, in-game betting markets and fan engagement experiences.